You could be right there Tor - I was wondering the same thing...
I bought 2 off IndigoSmurf and she said they were in their original packaging - I trust those are real - This one that was going on eBay 10 minutes ago may or may not be real...
That's bad in a way and good in another, then we will all be able to get one.
But then again, during this Xmas season we are seeing some really great promos coming out of the woodwork - I just won the below smurf from the same seller as the Candy Store (mind you, I over-paid for the Sparks below - the Katalog price is 20 euro - I paid 23+ Euro):